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Changes in Climate and Water Availability Adding Stress and Costs to Global Electricity Sector

Report suggests financial projections based on current life, performance and value of sectors' assets may not be robust

LONDON - 19 Aug 2009: LONDON, Aug. 19 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- According to an Acclimatise global report, backed by IBM (NYSE: IBM) , nearly all electric utilities claim climate change is threatening power outages, higher costs and changes in usage as demand grows to power the world's expanding cities.

Over ninety percent of global electric utilities that report climate change activity to the Carbon Disclosure Project recognised they are at risk from changes in climate and water availability, which are already adding stress to the sector. However, less than a third claimed to undertake any financial or quantified evaluation to the impact of climate change on their business.

The report suggests the energy industry is rapidly approaching a critical stage of development. As demand is growing from new requirements such as electric vehicles, increased cooling during warmer summer months and rapid urbanisation, utilities need to attract new financial investment to grow existing capabilities and develop emerging technologies in a low carbon way.

Without correct adaptation measures built into business plans, climatic risks could impact a utility company's financial and operational performance, potentially leading to additional operational and capital expenditure. Financial projections made today based on current life, performance and value of assets may not be robust, which could impact a utilities value and interest from investors.

The report "Global Electric Utilities - The Adaptation Challenge" is based on 219 responses to the Carbon Disclosure Project's annual request for investor information from the industry, analysed using the Acclimatisation Index™. Methodology.

Further key findings:

"Risk management and adaptation planning are crucial to business success as climate change is directly affecting the generation, transmission and consumption of electricity," said Graham Butler, Utilities Sector Lead, IBM Global Business Services UK & Ireland, "The smart electricity company of the future needs to have a fully integrated approach to building resilience. Business leaders will need the ability to gather and mine vast amounts of operational information to make accurate, smarter decisions to face climate change successfully and profitably."

Industry challenges - why adapt?

Many scientists report that climate change is underway and the direct effects of increasing global temperatures, such as changes in precipitation and rising sea levels, are becoming more evident. Climatic issues have the potential to impact how all major electric utilities operate, underpinning the world's major cities, transport and water infrastructures, which are essential to the commercial world and the way we live.

Key challenges the electricity industry faces due to environmental changes:

Drivers for change - legislation and costs

As the impacts of climate change become more direct, governments are starting to resort to prescriptive regulation and statutory controls to ensure that electricity companies take appropriate action on climate change adaptation.

Early indications of action by governments are already evident. In the United Kingdom the Climate Change Act 2008 gives the government an adaptation reporting power that requires electricity companies to assess and disclose the impacts climate change might have on their business.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission asks publicly-listed companies, including electric utilities, to disclose climate threats to their bottom lines in annual reporting. Voluntary agreements on climate risk disclosure have also been signed between electric utilities and governments, such as New York City.

The issue of cost is also an important factor. For example, operational costs could increase in response to changes in equipment efficiency under higher temperatures, lower air pressure and modified humidity. Changes in security and quality of water supplies used for cooling will also have significant cost implications for water-intensive thermoelectric generating facilities.

Due to the increasing legislation and cost implications stakeholders that include investors, lenders, insurers, market and financial analysts, governments and regulatory agencies, consumers, local communities and NGOs are already starting to place greater pressure on electricity companies to address climate change risks and opportunities. If plans for expansion are to be achieved, stakeholders and increased investment are crucial to the development of the global electricity industry.

John Firth, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder, climate change adaptation specialists Acclimatise said: "The successful electricity companies of the future will be those that act now upon the clear signals that climate change is underway. They will have a fully integrated approach to the challenges of the energy revolution, reducing emissions and adapting to inevitable climatic change."

Guide for electric utilities to start adapting to climate change

Acclimatise and IBM have jointly prepared a set of Prepare-Adapt questions to help electricity companies take informed steps towards building corporate resilience to inevitable climate change.

The first step is to assess the operational impacts across the business - focusing on assets located in areas and products that are sensitive to climate change. The next step is to assess the benefits that can be realised from better managing the response to climate change. This includes judging how well structured the approach is for managing climate change while demonstrating that a climate business resilience plan is realistic and financially viable.

"The Electric Utilities sector is one of the most advanced in its understanding of climate change related impact to its operations, said Paul Dickinson, CEO, Carbon Disclosure Project. "The impact of a carbon price has driven awareness around mitigation. However it is also important that the industry focuses on adapting to climate change and issues including changes in water availability and extreme weather events. These all have an impact on the sector and those companies which plan ahead, will be the best positioned."

For a full copy of the report: http://www.ibm.com/uk/green/cdp2009/

Methodology

The analysis has been undertaken using our Acclimatisation Index™ methodology. This enables a semi-quantitative analysis of the responses recognising the scope of the questions.

The Index can take into account information from other sources to provide a more comprehensive analysis if needed. The Index also allows a relative score for each company to be calculated, although these scores are not available as part of this project.

The Acclimatisation Index™ has been used to analyse the resilience of global electric utilities to climate change in response to questions contained within sections 1 and 4 of the Carbon Disclosure Project questionnaire. It describes how global electric utilities understand the risks and opportunities they face as a result of the changing climate, and how they plan to adapt to them.

For more information on IBM log onto www.ibm.com/uk/green:

For more information on Acclimatise:

Acclimatise is a risk management consultancy focussed on helping its clients become resilient to the impacts of inevitable climate change. Founded in 2004 Acclimatise advises some of the world's largest corporates, banks and pension funds. It also provides strategic guidance to governments, government agencies and to cities. http://www.acclimatise.uk.com

For more information on Carbon Disclosure Project:

The Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) is an independent not-for-profit organization holding the largest database of corporate climate change information in the world. CDP gathers data through its annual Information Requests on behalf of 475 institutional investors with assets under management of $55 trillion, purchasing organizations and government bodies. Since its formation in 2000, CDP has become the gold standard for carbon disclosure methodology and process, providing primary climate change data to the global market place.

For more information, visit www.cdproject.net

SOURCE IBM

Photo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090416/IBMLOGO
PRN Photo Desk, photodesk@prnewswire.com

Web site: http://www.ibm.com/green/

Contact(s) information

Emily Horn
Corporate External Relations -- Energy and Environment
415-545-2634
horne@us.ibm.com

John Firth
CEO and co-founder Acclimatise
+44 (0) 1623 884347
+44 (0) 7769 706184
j.firth@acclimatise.uk.com

Lucy Chapman
External Relations - IBM UK Communications
+44 (0) 20 7021 8911
+44 (0) 7920 823429
lucychapman@uk.ibm.com

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